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The U.S.-Israel strikes aim to weaken the Iranian regime's military capabilities and leadership. By targeting key figures and military installations, the operation seeks to disrupt Iran's influence in the region, particularly concerning its nuclear ambitions and support for proxy groups. The strikes also serve to send a message of deterrence against further Iranian aggression.
Iran has condemned the U.S.-Israel strikes, labeling them as acts of aggression. The Iranian government has called for unity among its citizens and threatened retaliation against U.S. and Israeli interests. Additionally, Iranian media has reported on the attacks, emphasizing civilian casualties and portraying the strikes as a failure of U.S. policy in the region.
U.S.-Iran relations have been fraught since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, which overthrew the U.S.-backed Shah. The subsequent hostage crisis solidified animosity, leading to decades of sanctions and military confrontations. Efforts for diplomatic engagement, such as the 2015 nuclear deal, have often unraveled, especially after the U.S. withdrew in 2018, escalating tensions further.
Ali Khamenei, as Iran's Supreme Leader, holds ultimate authority over the state and military. He influences foreign and domestic policies and has significant control over the judiciary and media. His leadership has been characterized by a hardline stance against the West, particularly the U.S., and he plays a crucial role in shaping Iran's response to external threats.
The U.S.-Israel strikes could destabilize the Middle East further, potentially igniting broader conflicts involving Iran and its allies, such as Hezbollah. Increased military actions may lead to retaliatory strikes against U.S. forces or allies in the region, exacerbating sectarian tensions and complicating existing conflicts in Syria and Iraq.
The strikes may lead the U.S. to adopt a more aggressive foreign policy in the Middle East, focusing on containment of Iran. This could involve increased military presence and support for allies in the region. Additionally, it may influence future negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program, shifting the U.S. stance towards a more confrontational approach.
Operation Shield of Judah refers to the coordinated military actions taken by Israel, in conjunction with the U.S., against Iranian targets. The operation aims to dismantle Iran's military infrastructure and weaken its regime's control. This initiative highlights Israel's proactive approach to counter perceived threats from Iran and its proxies in the region.
Hezbollah's stance is significant as it reflects the group's potential involvement in the conflict. By stating it would remain neutral unless certain Iranian capabilities are attacked, Hezbollah signals its strategic calculation to avoid direct confrontation with Israel while maintaining its support for Iran. This stance could influence the dynamics of regional alliances and conflicts.
Civilian casualties tend to galvanize public opinion against military actions, both domestically in Iran and internationally. They can fuel anti-American and anti-Israeli sentiments, leading to increased support for hardline factions within Iran. Such incidents often complicate the narrative for the U.S. and Israel, making it harder to justify military interventions.
The ongoing military strikes could weaken Iran's regime, potentially leading to internal unrest or calls for regime change. If the strikes significantly disrupt the military and governmental structures, they might embolden opposition groups within Iran. However, they could also unify the populace against external threats, reinforcing the regime's narrative of resistance against foreign aggression.
